Model line
Indiana −4.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Indiana 69%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
Neutral
31%Win probability69%
The model makes Indiana a 4.7-point favorite, winning about 69 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Syracuse offense vs Indiana defense
| Syracuse O | Stat | Indiana D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.8#211 | Tempo | #26266.6 |
| 52.6#122 | eFG% | #6649.0 |
| 16.0#142 | TOV% | #27815.1 |
| 29.2#230 | ORB% | #12429.3 |
| 35.1#175 | FT rate | #23837.0 |
| 7.9#55 | Block% | #2957.4 |
| 47.1#302 | Assist% | #8649.0 |
| 54.5#76 | 2P% | #5348.6 |
| 32.9#239 | 3P% | #12633.1 |
| 64.8#361 | FT% | — |
| 37.2#227 | 3PA rate | #26736.8 |
Indiana offense vs Syracuse defense
| Indiana O | Stat | Syracuse D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.6#262 | Tempo | #21167.8 |
| 56.1#22 | eFG% | #11950.3 |
| 15.1#69 | TOV% | #12817.4 |
| 26.9#302 | ORB% | #31233.6 |
| 35.0#180 | FT rate | #12032.6 |
| 10.1#246 | Block% | #615.4 |
| 62.5#13 | Assist% | #20253.0 |
| 60.3#7 | 2P% | #9349.8 |
| 34.7#138 | 3P% | #19134.1 |
| 78.0#18 | FT% | — |
| 50.5#14 | 3PA rate | #28935.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Syracuse
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | SMU59 | L 69–86 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Pittsburgh79 | L 69–71 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Louisville15 | L 62–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wake Forest82 | L 83–88 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | North Carolina39 | L 64–77 |
Indiana
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Northwestern85 | L 61–74 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Ohio St.26 | L 78–91 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Minnesota63 | W 77–47 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Michigan St.9 | L 64–77 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Northwestern85 | L 68–72 |
