Model line
Pittsburgh −20.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Pittsburgh 99%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Pittsburgh home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes Pittsburgh a 20.8-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Cleveland St. offense vs Pittsburgh defense
| Cleveland St. O | Stat | Pittsburgh D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#33 | Tempo | #33864.6 |
| 54.2#61 | eFG% | #28153.4 |
| 17.8#256 | TOV% | #21516.2 |
| 27.0#295 | ORB% | #7028.1 |
| 37.9#103 | FT rate | #8330.9 |
| 14.4#364 | Block% | #1689.5 |
| 57.9#57 | Assist% | #16751.8 |
| 52.0#166 | 2P% | #26453.7 |
| 37.5#21 | 3P% | #25935.2 |
| 76.2#46 | FT% | — |
| 50.8#9 | 3PA rate | #12841.0 |
Pittsburgh offense vs Cleveland St. defense
| Pittsburgh O | Stat | Cleveland St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.6#338 | Tempo | #3371.4 |
| 51.0#194 | eFG% | #36057.2 |
| 17.3#223 | TOV% | #27515.1 |
| 33.9#71 | ORB% | #35536.6 |
| 30.4#300 | FT rate | #19435.5 |
| 9.2#159 | Block% | #2987.3 |
| 52.3#187 | Assist% | #32858.6 |
| 51.7#183 | 2P% | #36259.5 |
| 33.4#203 | 3P% | #30936.2 |
| 67.4#336 | FT% | — |
| 42.6#124 | 3PA rate | #4644.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Cleveland St.
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Wright St.150 | L 61–90 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | IU Indy311 | W 101–93 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Robert Morris163 | L 64–83 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Northern Kentucky217 | L 70–81 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Purdue Fort Wayne268 | L 86–92 |
Pittsburgh
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | NC State54 | L 88–98 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Stanford81 | W 64–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Syracuse76 | W 71–69 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Florida St.64 | L 74–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | California94 | W 72–56 |
