Model line
Pittsburgh −16.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Pittsburgh 96%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
Pittsburgh home
4%Win probability96%
The model makes Pittsburgh a 16.4-point favorite, winning about 96 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Tarleton St. offense vs Pittsburgh defense
| Tarleton St. O | Stat | Pittsburgh D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#87 | Tempo | #33864.6 |
| 48.3#307 | eFG% | #28153.4 |
| 20.0#348 | TOV% | #21516.2 |
| 31.5#143 | ORB% | #7028.1 |
| 41.9#33 | FT rate | #8330.9 |
| 9.6#203 | Block% | #1689.5 |
| 41.7#355 | Assist% | #16751.8 |
| 48.2#303 | 2P% | #26453.7 |
| 32.5#257 | 3P% | #25935.2 |
| 74.2#121 | FT% | — |
| 24.2#365 | 3PA rate | #12841.0 |
Pittsburgh offense vs Tarleton St. defense
| Pittsburgh O | Stat | Tarleton St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.6#338 | Tempo | #8770.2 |
| 51.0#194 | eFG% | #29053.6 |
| 17.3#223 | TOV% | #323.4 |
| 33.9#71 | ORB% | #34035.1 |
| 30.4#300 | FT rate | #35947.7 |
| 9.2#159 | Block% | #1599.7 |
| 52.3#187 | Assist% | #26955.5 |
| 51.7#183 | 2P% | #29354.4 |
| 33.4#203 | 3P% | #24234.9 |
| 67.4#336 | FT% | — |
| 42.6#124 | 3PA rate | #13840.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Tarleton St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Abilene Christian242 | L 78–84 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | UT Arlington232 | L 60–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Cal Baptist216 | L 67–82 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Utah Valley120 | L 72–79 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Utah Tech254 | L 72–80 |
Pittsburgh
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | NC State54 | L 88–98 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Stanford81 | W 64–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Syracuse76 | W 71–69 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Florida St.64 | L 74–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | California94 | W 72–56 |
