Model line
Missouri −11.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Missouri 89%
Projected tempo
69.2
possessions
Site
Missouri home
11%Win probability89%
The model makes Missouri a 11.8-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Pittsburgh offense vs Missouri defense
| Pittsburgh O | Stat | Missouri D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.6#338 | Tempo | #18768.3 |
| 51.0#194 | eFG% | #18751.5 |
| 17.3#223 | TOV% | #18616.5 |
| 33.9#71 | ORB% | #24231.7 |
| 30.4#300 | FT rate | #19735.5 |
| 9.2#159 | Block% | #10810.6 |
| 52.3#187 | Assist% | #18152.5 |
| 51.7#183 | 2P% | #5548.7 |
| 33.4#203 | 3P% | #34136.8 |
| 67.4#336 | FT% | — |
| 42.6#124 | 3PA rate | #7243.0 |
Missouri offense vs Pittsburgh defense
| Missouri O | Stat | Pittsburgh D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#187 | Tempo | #33864.6 |
| 55.0#39 | eFG% | #28153.4 |
| 17.8#260 | TOV% | #21516.2 |
| 34.9#50 | ORB% | #7028.1 |
| 42.1#29 | FT rate | #8330.9 |
| 9.7#210 | Block% | #1689.5 |
| 51.2#211 | Assist% | #16751.8 |
| 56.4#40 | 2P% | #26453.7 |
| 35.0#116 | 3P% | #25935.2 |
| 69.1#296 | FT% | — |
| 36.4#241 | 3PA rate | #12841.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Pittsburgh
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | NC State54 | L 88–98 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Stanford81 | W 64–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Syracuse76 | W 71–69 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Florida St.64 | L 74–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | California94 | W 72–56 |
Missouri
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Miami FL13 | L 66–80 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kentucky20 | L 72–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Arkansas23 | L 84–88 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Oklahoma22 | L 64–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Mississippi St.70 | W 88–64 |
