Model line
Pittsburgh −23.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Pittsburgh 99%
Projected tempo
69.3
possessions
Site
Pittsburgh home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes Pittsburgh a 23.7-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Central Michigan offense vs Pittsburgh defense
| Central Michigan O | Stat | Pittsburgh D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#182 | Tempo | #33864.6 |
| 51.8#153 | eFG% | #28153.4 |
| 18.1#274 | TOV% | #21516.2 |
| 29.2#228 | ORB% | #7028.1 |
| 31.4#271 | FT rate | #8330.9 |
| 8.8#132 | Block% | #1689.5 |
| 54.9#116 | Assist% | #16751.8 |
| 52.2#161 | 2P% | #26453.7 |
| 33.9#178 | 3P% | #25935.2 |
| 69.7#278 | FT% | — |
| 34.0#294 | 3PA rate | #12841.0 |
Pittsburgh offense vs Central Michigan defense
| Pittsburgh O | Stat | Central Michigan D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.6#338 | Tempo | #18268.3 |
| 51.0#194 | eFG% | #30054.0 |
| 17.3#223 | TOV% | #15217.0 |
| 33.9#71 | ORB% | #32234.3 |
| 30.4#300 | FT rate | #28439.0 |
| 9.2#159 | Block% | #6111.6 |
| 52.3#187 | Assist% | #31357.9 |
| 51.7#183 | 2P% | #28954.4 |
| 33.4#203 | 3P% | #28035.5 |
| 67.4#336 | FT% | — |
| 42.6#124 | 3PA rate | #21638.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Central Michigan
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Ball St.220 | L 69–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Akron100 | L 64–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Buffalo191 | W 75–70 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Kent St.126 | L 81–83 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Western Michigan173 | W 83–70 |
Pittsburgh
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | NC State54 | L 88–98 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Stanford81 | W 64–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Syracuse76 | W 71–69 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Florida St.64 | L 74–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | California94 | W 72–56 |
