Model line
Pittsburgh −31.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Pittsburgh >99%
Projected tempo
68.8
possessions
Site
Pittsburgh home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Pittsburgh a 31.3-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Rider offense vs Pittsburgh defense
| Rider O | Stat | Pittsburgh D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.7#309 | Tempo | #33864.6 |
| 42.8#365 | eFG% | #28153.4 |
| 16.9#195 | TOV% | #21516.2 |
| 32.6#102 | ORB% | #7028.1 |
| 30.1#307 | FT rate | #8330.9 |
| 8.3#82 | Block% | #1689.5 |
| 44.3#342 | Assist% | #16751.8 |
| 43.3#362 | 2P% | #26453.7 |
| 27.7#365 | 3P% | #25935.2 |
| 70.1#272 | FT% | — |
| 27.5#361 | 3PA rate | #12841.0 |
Pittsburgh offense vs Rider defense
| Pittsburgh O | Stat | Rider D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.6#338 | Tempo | #30965.7 |
| 51.0#194 | eFG% | #33755.2 |
| 17.3#223 | TOV% | #26915.3 |
| 33.9#71 | ORB% | #29232.8 |
| 30.4#300 | FT rate | #11632.5 |
| 9.2#159 | Block% | #1769.3 |
| 52.3#187 | Assist% | #23754.4 |
| 51.7#183 | 2P% | #27954.0 |
| 33.4#203 | 3P% | #35637.9 |
| 67.4#336 | FT% | — |
| 42.6#124 | 3PA rate | #16539.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Rider
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Siena271 | L 61–76 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Iona222 | L 58–80 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Niagara318 | W 67–62 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Canisius339 | L 66–72 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | A | Sacred Heart310 | L 75–86 |
Pittsburgh
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | NC State54 | L 88–98 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Stanford81 | W 64–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Syracuse76 | W 71–69 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Florida St.64 | L 74–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | California94 | W 72–56 |
