Model line
Houston −9.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Houston 85%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Neutral
85%Win probability15%
The model makes Houston a 9.7-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Houston offense vs Florida St. defense
| Houston O | Stat | Florida St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.9#332 | Tempo | #2771.8 |
| 52.2#138 | eFG% | #22752.2 |
| 12.9#5 | TOV% | #5119.0 |
| 36.0#26 | ORB% | #31934.1 |
| 27.0#351 | FT rate | #12332.7 |
| 6.3#6 | Block% | #6211.6 |
| 52.0#192 | Assist% | #27155.7 |
| 52.0#167 | 2P% | #22052.5 |
| 34.9#126 | 3P% | #22334.6 |
| 77.2#29 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#156 | 3PA rate | #3244.9 |
Florida St. offense vs Houston defense
| Florida St. O | Stat | Houston D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.8#27 | Tempo | #33264.9 |
| 52.3#132 | eFG% | #1246.0 |
| 15.2#80 | TOV% | #1320.7 |
| 30.8#171 | ORB% | #17230.2 |
| 34.7#190 | FT rate | #27738.6 |
| 12.8#353 | Block% | #3512.6 |
| 52.5#179 | Assist% | #21253.4 |
| 55.1#55 | 2P% | #945.2 |
| 33.1#222 | 3P% | #4531.4 |
| 71.3#230 | FT% | — |
| 50.6#13 | 3PA rate | #11341.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Houston
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Illinois7 | L 55–65 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Texas A&M33 | W 88–57 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Idaho238 | W 78–47 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Arizona5 | L 74–79 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Kansas8 | W 69–47 |
Florida St.
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Duke1 | L 79–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | California94 | W 95–89 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | SMU59 | W 91–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Pittsburgh79 | W 75–74 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Georgia Tech110 | W 80–71 |
