Model line
Florida St. −22.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Florida St. 99%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Florida St. home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes Florida St. a 22.9-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Jacksonville offense vs Florida St. defense
| Jacksonville O | Stat | Florida St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2#327 | Tempo | #2771.8 |
| 50.0#235 | eFG% | #22752.2 |
| 17.2#217 | TOV% | #5119.0 |
| 31.7#135 | ORB% | #31934.1 |
| 32.8#239 | FT rate | #12332.7 |
| 7.5#30 | Block% | #6211.6 |
| 44.7#338 | Assist% | #27155.7 |
| 51.5#191 | 2P% | #22052.5 |
| 31.7#292 | 3P% | #22334.6 |
| 72.3#195 | FT% | — |
| 37.4#223 | 3PA rate | #3244.9 |
Florida St. offense vs Jacksonville defense
| Florida St. O | Stat | Jacksonville D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.8#27 | Tempo | #32765.2 |
| 52.3#132 | eFG% | #32554.8 |
| 15.2#80 | TOV% | #28915.0 |
| 30.8#171 | ORB% | #11129.1 |
| 34.7#190 | FT rate | #33642.7 |
| 12.8#353 | Block% | #2618.0 |
| 52.5#179 | Assist% | #13650.8 |
| 55.1#55 | 2P% | #31055.0 |
| 33.1#222 | 3P% | #31736.3 |
| 71.3#230 | FT% | — |
| 50.6#13 | 3PA rate | #31335.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Jacksonville
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Bellarmine305 | L 79–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | North Florida321 | W 85–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Stetson267 | W 89–85 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Austin Peay195 | L 61–65 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Florida Gulf Coast275 | L 84–86 |
Florida St.
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Duke1 | L 79–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | California94 | W 95–89 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | SMU59 | W 91–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Pittsburgh79 | W 75–74 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Georgia Tech110 | W 80–71 |
