Model line
Florida St. −19.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Florida St. 98%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Florida St. home
2%Win probability98%
The model makes Florida St. a 19.8-point favorite, winning about 98 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Green Bay offense vs Florida St. defense
| Green Bay O | Stat | Florida St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.7#336 | Tempo | #2771.8 |
| 54.9#42 | eFG% | #22752.2 |
| 16.0#138 | TOV% | #5119.0 |
| 25.1#338 | ORB% | #31934.1 |
| 41.6#36 | FT rate | #12332.7 |
| 9.3#162 | Block% | #6211.6 |
| 54.5#126 | Assist% | #27155.7 |
| 55.0#56 | 2P% | #22052.5 |
| 36.4#42 | 3P% | #22334.6 |
| 77.5#24 | FT% | — |
| 37.3#224 | 3PA rate | #3244.9 |
Florida St. offense vs Green Bay defense
| Florida St. O | Stat | Green Bay D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.8#27 | Tempo | #33664.7 |
| 52.3#132 | eFG% | #28753.6 |
| 15.2#80 | TOV% | #35113.2 |
| 30.8#171 | ORB% | #14029.6 |
| 34.7#190 | FT rate | #24837.4 |
| 12.8#353 | Block% | #2378.4 |
| 52.5#179 | Assist% | #31057.8 |
| 55.1#55 | 2P% | #23352.9 |
| 33.1#222 | 3P% | #31636.3 |
| 71.3#230 | FT% | — |
| 50.6#13 | 3PA rate | #5743.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Green Bay
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Northern Kentucky217 | L 76–96 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Purdue Fort Wayne268 | W 64–56 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Youngstown St.248 | W 85–63 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Detroit Mercy277 | L 70–74 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Oakland208 | W 73–68 |
Florida St.
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Duke1 | L 79–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | California94 | W 95–89 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | SMU59 | W 91–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Pittsburgh79 | W 75–74 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Georgia Tech110 | W 80–71 |
