Model line
Florida St. −21.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Florida St. 99%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Florida St. home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes Florida St. a 21.0-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Ball St. offense vs Florida St. defense
| Ball St. O | Stat | Florida St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.4#318 | Tempo | #2771.8 |
| 47.0#336 | eFG% | #22752.2 |
| 16.2#151 | TOV% | #5119.0 |
| 27.1#292 | ORB% | #31934.1 |
| 31.6#264 | FT rate | #12332.7 |
| 10.9#294 | Block% | #6211.6 |
| 53.6#145 | Assist% | #27155.7 |
| 47.0#331 | 2P% | #22052.5 |
| 31.4#308 | 3P% | #22334.6 |
| 71.0#235 | FT% | — |
| 39.4#183 | 3PA rate | #3244.9 |
Florida St. offense vs Ball St. defense
| Florida St. O | Stat | Ball St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.8#27 | Tempo | #31865.4 |
| 52.3#132 | eFG% | #24952.7 |
| 15.2#80 | TOV% | #6118.7 |
| 30.8#171 | ORB% | #19931.0 |
| 34.7#190 | FT rate | #10632.1 |
| 12.8#353 | Block% | #2468.2 |
| 52.5#179 | Assist% | #22654.1 |
| 55.1#55 | 2P% | #23953.0 |
| 33.1#222 | 3P% | #23434.8 |
| 71.3#230 | FT% | — |
| 50.6#13 | 3PA rate | #11741.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Ball St.
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Central Michigan272 | W 85–69 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Western Michigan173 | W 74–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Northern Illinois278 | W 79–43 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Massachusetts166 | W 74–73 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Akron100 | L 65–78 |
Florida St.
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Duke1 | L 79–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | California94 | W 95–89 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | SMU59 | W 91–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Pittsburgh79 | W 75–74 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Georgia Tech110 | W 80–71 |
