Model line
Florida St. −21.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Florida St. 99%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Florida St. home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes Florida St. a 21.6-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Texas A&M Corpus Chris offense vs Florida St. defense
| Texas A&M Corpus Chris O | Stat | Florida St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.6#265 | Tempo | #2771.8 |
| 49.5#268 | eFG% | #22752.2 |
| 19.4#336 | TOV% | #5119.0 |
| 31.7#138 | ORB% | #31934.1 |
| 41.1#49 | FT rate | #12332.7 |
| 11.6#329 | Block% | #6211.6 |
| 50.7#226 | Assist% | #27155.7 |
| 48.1#307 | 2P% | #22052.5 |
| 35.0#122 | 3P% | #22334.6 |
| 67.4#337 | FT% | — |
| 31.4#334 | 3PA rate | #3244.9 |
Florida St. offense vs Texas A&M Corpus Chris defense
| Florida St. O | Stat | Texas A&M Corpus Chris D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.8#27 | Tempo | #26566.6 |
| 52.3#132 | eFG% | #10750.1 |
| 15.2#80 | TOV% | #5319.0 |
| 30.8#171 | ORB% | #9628.8 |
| 34.7#190 | FT rate | #35346.3 |
| 12.8#353 | Block% | #2797.7 |
| 52.5#179 | Assist% | #9749.3 |
| 55.1#55 | 2P% | #17051.5 |
| 33.1#222 | 3P% | #5131.6 |
| 71.3#230 | FT% | — |
| 50.6#13 | 3PA rate | #32234.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Texas A&M Corpus Chris
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Stephen F. Austin139 | L 58–60 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | LSU N Orleans | W 74–61 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Texas A&M Commerce323 | W 84–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Northwestern St.296 | W 71–59 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | A | Southeastern Louisiana269 | W 73–68 |
Florida St.
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Duke1 | L 79–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | California94 | W 95–89 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | SMU59 | W 91–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Pittsburgh79 | W 75–74 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Georgia Tech110 | W 80–71 |
