Model line
Florida St. −17.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Florida St. 97%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Florida St. home
3%Win probability97%
The model makes Florida St. a 17.8-point favorite, winning about 97 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Troy offense vs Florida St. defense
| Troy O | Stat | Florida St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#253 | Tempo | #2771.8 |
| 51.5#173 | eFG% | #22752.2 |
| 17.3#224 | TOV% | #5119.0 |
| 34.6#58 | ORB% | #31934.1 |
| 36.2#145 | FT rate | #12332.7 |
| 10.9#296 | Block% | #6211.6 |
| 57.5#64 | Assist% | #27155.7 |
| 53.2#125 | 2P% | #22052.5 |
| 33.0#232 | 3P% | #22334.6 |
| 74.2#122 | FT% | — |
| 45.9#49 | 3PA rate | #3244.9 |
Florida St. offense vs Troy defense
| Florida St. O | Stat | Troy D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.8#27 | Tempo | #25366.8 |
| 52.3#132 | eFG% | #11350.2 |
| 15.2#80 | TOV% | #17516.7 |
| 30.8#171 | ORB% | #24331.7 |
| 34.7#190 | FT rate | #9531.4 |
| 12.8#353 | Block% | #2039.0 |
| 52.5#179 | Assist% | #11450.0 |
| 55.1#55 | 2P% | #19652.0 |
| 33.1#222 | 3P% | #5231.6 |
| 71.3#230 | FT% | — |
| 50.6#13 | 3PA rate | #19439.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Troy
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Nebraska19 | L 47–76 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Georgia Southern307 | W 77–61 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Southern Miss236 | W 78–70 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 80–65 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Louisiana215 | W 78–59 |
Florida St.
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Duke1 | L 79–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | California94 | W 95–89 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | SMU59 | W 91–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Pittsburgh79 | W 75–74 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Georgia Tech110 | W 80–71 |
