Model line
Duke −41.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Duke >99%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Duke home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Duke a 41.2-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Grambling St. offense vs Duke defense
| Grambling St. O | Stat | Duke D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#120 | Tempo | #24367.0 |
| 48.8#295 | eFG% | #945.9 |
| 21.2#357 | TOV% | #11217.7 |
| 30.3#188 | ORB% | #824.9 |
| 41.1#47 | FT rate | #223.0 |
| 13.1#356 | Block% | #12110.3 |
| 51.6#199 | Assist% | #16251.7 |
| 48.9#285 | 2P% | #1446.0 |
| 32.3#265 | 3P% | #2130.5 |
| 72.9#172 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#210 | 3PA rate | #2945.2 |
Duke offense vs Grambling St. defense
| Duke O | Stat | Grambling St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#243 | Tempo | #12069.4 |
| 56.6#14 | eFG% | #9650.0 |
| 15.9#128 | TOV% | #1220.8 |
| 38.3#5 | ORB% | #28232.5 |
| 37.9#104 | FT rate | #30140.0 |
| 9.3#161 | Block% | #2907.5 |
| 59.0#42 | Assist% | #18652.6 |
| 60.3#6 | 2P% | #11850.5 |
| 34.6#141 | 3P% | #9732.7 |
| 73.2#162 | FT% | — |
| 44.3#82 | 3PA rate | #31235.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Grambling St.
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Northern Illinois278 | W 89–87 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Jackson St.314 | L 65–68 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Mississippi Valley St.365 | W 77–52 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Alabama St.295 | W 65–63 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Alabama A&M313 | L 63–77 |
Duke
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Connecticut3 | L 72–73 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | St. John's25 | W 80–75 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | TCU50 | W 81–58 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Siena271 | W 71–65 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Virginia14 | W 74–70 |
