Model line
Duke −40.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Duke >99%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Duke home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Duke a 40.7-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Campbell offense vs Duke defense
| Campbell O | Stat | Duke D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.0#94 | Tempo | #24367.0 |
| 50.1#230 | eFG% | #945.9 |
| 17.6#241 | TOV% | #11217.7 |
| 33.5#77 | ORB% | #824.9 |
| 43.5#13 | FT rate | #223.0 |
| 10.5#271 | Block% | #12110.3 |
| 44.9#335 | Assist% | #16251.7 |
| 51.2#203 | 2P% | #1446.0 |
| 32.3#264 | 3P% | #2130.5 |
| 72.5#186 | FT% | — |
| 36.9#231 | 3PA rate | #2945.2 |
Duke offense vs Campbell defense
| Duke O | Stat | Campbell D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#243 | Tempo | #9470.0 |
| 56.6#14 | eFG% | #29553.9 |
| 15.9#128 | TOV% | #15117.0 |
| 38.3#5 | ORB% | #25332.0 |
| 37.9#104 | FT rate | #23737.0 |
| 9.3#161 | Block% | #3643.7 |
| 59.0#42 | Assist% | #10649.8 |
| 60.3#6 | 2P% | #28454.2 |
| 34.6#141 | 3P% | #27935.5 |
| 73.2#162 | FT% | — |
| 44.3#82 | 3PA rate | #36229.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Campbell
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Monmouth193 | L 64–74 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | UNC Wilmington107 | W 85–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Stony Brook225 | W 96–89 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | North Carolina A&T300 | W 90–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Towson179 | L 67–71 |
Duke
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Connecticut3 | L 72–73 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | St. John's25 | W 80–75 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | TCU50 | W 81–58 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Siena271 | W 71–65 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Virginia14 | W 74–70 |
