Model line
Duke −23.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Duke 99%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Neutral
1%Win probability99%
The model makes Duke a 23.6-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Washington St. offense vs Duke defense
| Washington St. O | Stat | Duke D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.9#156 | Tempo | #24367.0 |
| 54.7#51 | eFG% | #945.9 |
| 18.4#294 | TOV% | #11217.7 |
| 29.5#222 | ORB% | #824.9 |
| 30.2#306 | FT rate | #223.0 |
| 9.6#205 | Block% | #12110.3 |
| 51.6#204 | Assist% | #16251.7 |
| 54.6#70 | 2P% | #1446.0 |
| 36.5#40 | 3P% | #2130.5 |
| 74.5#104 | FT% | — |
| 44.8#74 | 3PA rate | #2945.2 |
Duke offense vs Washington St. defense
| Duke O | Stat | Washington St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#243 | Tempo | #15668.9 |
| 56.6#14 | eFG% | #24852.6 |
| 15.9#128 | TOV% | #31714.6 |
| 38.3#5 | ORB% | #7728.2 |
| 37.9#104 | FT rate | #13333.0 |
| 9.3#161 | Block% | #2807.7 |
| 59.0#42 | Assist% | #9349.2 |
| 60.3#6 | 2P% | #21952.4 |
| 34.6#141 | 3P% | #27535.4 |
| 73.2#162 | FT% | — |
| 44.3#82 | 3PA rate | #27236.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Washington St.
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Portland181 | L 68–74 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Pepperdine154 | L 79–88 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Loyola Marymount136 | L 66–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Saint Mary's74 | L 67–83 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Pacific141 | W 87–70 |
Duke
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Connecticut3 | L 72–73 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | St. John's25 | W 80–75 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | TCU50 | W 81–58 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Siena271 | W 71–65 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Virginia14 | W 74–70 |
