Model line
Duke −39.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Duke >99%
Projected tempo
69.1
possessions
Site
Duke home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Duke a 39.2-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
SIU Edwardsville offense vs Duke defense
| SIU Edwardsville O | Stat | Duke D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.6#313 | Tempo | #24367.0 |
| 49.5#267 | eFG% | #945.9 |
| 17.9#267 | TOV% | #11217.7 |
| 30.1#195 | ORB% | #824.9 |
| 30.6#292 | FT rate | #223.0 |
| 8.9#140 | Block% | #12110.3 |
| 50.9#222 | Assist% | #16251.7 |
| 47.8#315 | 2P% | #1446.0 |
| 35.0#121 | 3P% | #2130.5 |
| 67.1#343 | FT% | — |
| 36.2#245 | 3PA rate | #2945.2 |
Duke offense vs SIU Edwardsville defense
| Duke O | Stat | SIU Edwardsville D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#243 | Tempo | #31365.6 |
| 56.6#14 | eFG% | #745.6 |
| 15.9#128 | TOV% | #15517.0 |
| 38.3#5 | ORB% | #23431.6 |
| 37.9#104 | FT rate | #16134.3 |
| 9.3#161 | Block% | #6611.5 |
| 59.0#42 | Assist% | #4046.4 |
| 60.3#6 | 2P% | #1245.8 |
| 34.6#141 | 3P% | #930.2 |
| 73.2#162 | FT% | — |
| 44.3#82 | 3PA rate | #21838.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
SIU Edwardsville
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Eastern Illinois358 | L 71–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Eastern Illinois358 | W 77–50 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Western Illinois363 | W 67–47 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Tennessee St.204 | L 53–80 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Tennessee Tech226 | L 52–62 |
Duke
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Connecticut3 | L 72–73 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | St. John's25 | W 80–75 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | TCU50 | W 81–58 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Siena271 | W 71–65 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Virginia14 | W 74–70 |
