Model line
Duke −40.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Duke >99%
Projected tempo
69.6
possessions
Site
Duke home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Duke a 40.0-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Coastal Carolina offense vs Duke defense
| Coastal Carolina O | Stat | Duke D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#184 | Tempo | #24367.0 |
| 47.9#314 | eFG% | #945.9 |
| 15.2#78 | TOV% | #11217.7 |
| 26.9#300 | ORB% | #824.9 |
| 32.3#253 | FT rate | #223.0 |
| 7.6#34 | Block% | #12110.3 |
| 40.4#359 | Assist% | #16251.7 |
| 46.1#347 | 2P% | #1446.0 |
| 33.5#195 | 3P% | #2130.5 |
| 73.1#165 | FT% | — |
| 43.1#110 | 3PA rate | #2945.2 |
Duke offense vs Coastal Carolina defense
| Duke O | Stat | Coastal Carolina D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#243 | Tempo | #18468.3 |
| 56.6#14 | eFG% | #1846.8 |
| 15.9#128 | TOV% | #36412.3 |
| 38.3#5 | ORB% | #5127.6 |
| 37.9#104 | FT rate | #17534.9 |
| 9.3#161 | Block% | #2508.1 |
| 59.0#42 | Assist% | #137.7 |
| 60.3#6 | 2P% | #1045.5 |
| 34.6#141 | 3P% | #10532.8 |
| 73.2#162 | FT% | — |
| 44.3#82 | 3PA rate | #29935.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Coastal Carolina
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 72–96 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | James Madison143 | W 69–68 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Georgia St.205 | W 76–71 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Marshall241 | W 79–75 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | James Madison143 | L 65–67 |
Duke
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Connecticut3 | L 72–73 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | St. John's25 | W 80–75 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | TCU50 | W 81–58 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Siena271 | W 71–65 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Virginia14 | W 74–70 |
