Model line
Boston College −5.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Boston College 70%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
Neutral
30%Win probability70%
The model makes Boston College a 5.0-point favorite, winning about 70 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Massachusetts offense vs Boston College defense
| Massachusetts O | Stat | Boston College D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.2#45 | Tempo | #28266.3 |
| 53.1#98 | eFG% | #6248.9 |
| 17.8#259 | TOV% | #29314.9 |
| 33.3#83 | ORB% | #8928.6 |
| 37.0#130 | FT rate | #16634.6 |
| 7.6#35 | Block% | #6011.6 |
| 58.4#52 | Assist% | #8048.6 |
| 53.2#121 | 2P% | #8549.6 |
| 35.2#105 | 3P% | #5831.9 |
| 67.3#339 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#264 | 3PA rate | #19639.0 |
Boston College offense vs Massachusetts defense
| Boston College O | Stat | Massachusetts D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.3#282 | Tempo | #4571.2 |
| 47.0#337 | eFG% | #26452.9 |
| 15.4#96 | TOV% | #16616.8 |
| 28.3#251 | ORB% | #1926.1 |
| 32.4#250 | FT rate | #34844.6 |
| 10.0#235 | Block% | #3216.7 |
| 47.4#295 | Assist% | #32958.6 |
| 49.1#277 | 2P% | #31655.4 |
| 29.4#347 | 3P% | #12033.0 |
| 65.3#358 | FT% | — |
| 42.4#128 | 3PA rate | #7842.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Massachusetts
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Toledo144 | L 67–77 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Miami OH108 | W 87–83 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Ohio167 | W 94–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Bowling Green192 | L 62–81 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Ball St.220 | L 73–74 |
Boston College
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Notre Dame72 | W 77–69 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Virginia Tech48 | L 63–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Miami FL13 | L 54–76 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Wake Forest82 | W 68–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | SMU59 | L 70–94 |
