Model line
Cincinnati −9.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Cincinnati 84%
Projected tempo
71.9
possessions
Site
Cincinnati home
16%Win probability84%
The model makes Cincinnati a 9.3-point favorite, winning about 84 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Xavier offense vs Cincinnati defense
| Xavier O | Stat | Cincinnati D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.2#46 | Tempo | #13069.2 |
| 51.8#160 | eFG% | #2647.3 |
| 13.9#21 | TOV% | #8818.2 |
| 26.5#310 | ORB% | #4527.3 |
| 28.1#341 | FT rate | #5830.0 |
| 10.2#259 | Block% | #4712.1 |
| 62.2#16 | Assist% | #23954.5 |
| 49.8#264 | 2P% | #4147.9 |
| 36.5#41 | 3P% | #3531.0 |
| 72.9#176 | FT% | — |
| 40.6#154 | 3PA rate | #16439.9 |
Cincinnati offense vs Xavier defense
| Cincinnati O | Stat | Xavier D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#130 | Tempo | #4671.2 |
| 50.5#213 | eFG% | #30254.1 |
| 17.0#198 | TOV% | #25615.5 |
| 30.6#176 | ORB% | #13629.5 |
| 29.4#323 | FT rate | #12232.6 |
| 6.8#15 | Block% | #12610.3 |
| 63.7#10 | Assist% | #35963.3 |
| 50.2#248 | 2P% | #31555.3 |
| 33.9#179 | 3P% | #23834.8 |
| 68.1#321 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#94 | 3PA rate | #26536.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Xavier
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Connecticut3 | L 68–93 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Marquette31 | W 89–87 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Villanova47 | L 78–91 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Seton Hall69 | L 68–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Georgetown65 | W 91–84 |
Cincinnati
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UCF58 | L 65–66 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Utah88 | W 73–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | TCU50 | L 63–73 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | BYU28 | W 90–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oklahoma St.52 | W 91–68 |
