Model line
Xavier −31.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Xavier >99%
Projected tempo
72.0
possessions
Site
Xavier home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Xavier a 31.8-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Detroit Mercy offense vs Xavier defense
| Detroit Mercy O | Stat | Xavier D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#101 | Tempo | #4671.2 |
| 49.5#264 | eFG% | #30254.1 |
| 16.0#137 | TOV% | #25615.5 |
| 33.3#82 | ORB% | #13629.5 |
| 32.6#248 | FT rate | #12232.6 |
| 7.9#50 | Block% | #12610.3 |
| 48.5#276 | Assist% | #35963.3 |
| 48.1#304 | 2P% | #31555.3 |
| 35.1#106 | 3P% | #23834.8 |
| 78.9#4 | FT% | — |
| 30.7#343 | 3PA rate | #26536.9 |
Xavier offense vs Detroit Mercy defense
| Xavier O | Stat | Detroit Mercy D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.2#46 | Tempo | #10169.7 |
| 51.8#160 | eFG% | #22652.2 |
| 13.9#21 | TOV% | #32414.4 |
| 26.5#310 | ORB% | #19230.8 |
| 28.1#341 | FT rate | #25337.6 |
| 10.2#259 | Block% | #1659.5 |
| 62.2#16 | Assist% | #32458.3 |
| 49.8#264 | 2P% | #26753.8 |
| 36.5#41 | 3P% | #13833.3 |
| 72.9#176 | FT% | — |
| 40.6#154 | 3PA rate | #7942.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Detroit Mercy
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Wright St.150 | L 63–66 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Robert Morris163 | W 70–64 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Milwaukee247 | W 84–63 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Oakland208 | W 95–89 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Robert Morris163 | L 62–73 |
Xavier
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Connecticut3 | L 68–93 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Marquette31 | W 89–87 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Villanova47 | L 78–91 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Seton Hall69 | L 68–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Georgetown65 | W 91–84 |
