Model line
Xavier −33.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Xavier >99%
Projected tempo
71.9
possessions
Site
Xavier home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Xavier a 33.4-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mount St. Mary's offense vs Xavier defense
| Mount St. Mary's O | Stat | Xavier D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#215 | Tempo | #4671.2 |
| 50.6#208 | eFG% | #30254.1 |
| 22.4#364 | TOV% | #25615.5 |
| 32.3#112 | ORB% | #13629.5 |
| 33.3#231 | FT rate | #12232.6 |
| 8.5#102 | Block% | #12610.3 |
| 55.2#109 | Assist% | #35963.3 |
| 51.8#175 | 2P% | #31555.3 |
| 32.7#246 | 3P% | #23834.8 |
| 67.4#335 | FT% | — |
| 42.6#123 | 3PA rate | #26536.9 |
Xavier offense vs Mount St. Mary's defense
| Xavier O | Stat | Mount St. Mary's D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.2#46 | Tempo | #21567.7 |
| 51.8#160 | eFG% | #2347.2 |
| 13.9#21 | TOV% | #26615.3 |
| 26.5#310 | ORB% | #11429.1 |
| 28.1#341 | FT rate | #24737.3 |
| 10.2#259 | Block% | #2009.0 |
| 62.2#16 | Assist% | #19852.9 |
| 49.8#264 | 2P% | #1646.2 |
| 36.5#41 | 3P% | #7932.3 |
| 72.9#176 | FT% | — |
| 40.6#154 | 3PA rate | #3344.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mount St. Mary's
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Siena271 | L 58–63 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Fairfield231 | W 69–47 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Sacred Heart310 | L 69–77 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Canisius339 | W 68–47 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Niagara318 | W 76–63 |
Xavier
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Connecticut3 | L 68–93 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Marquette31 | W 89–87 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Villanova47 | L 78–91 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Seton Hall69 | L 68–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Georgetown65 | W 91–84 |
