Model line
Providence −4.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Providence 68%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Neutral
32%Win probability68%
The model makes Providence a 4.4-point favorite, winning about 68 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Syracuse offense vs Providence defense
| Syracuse O | Stat | Providence D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.8#211 | Tempo | #2172.3 |
| 52.6#122 | eFG% | #17851.4 |
| 16.0#142 | TOV% | #35313.1 |
| 29.2#230 | ORB% | #19430.8 |
| 35.1#175 | FT rate | #12732.7 |
| 7.9#55 | Block% | #1629.6 |
| 47.1#302 | Assist% | #24554.7 |
| 54.5#76 | 2P% | #11750.4 |
| 32.9#239 | 3P% | #26635.3 |
| 64.8#361 | FT% | — |
| 37.2#227 | 3PA rate | #21538.5 |
Providence offense vs Syracuse defense
| Providence O | Stat | Syracuse D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.3#21 | Tempo | #21167.8 |
| 55.0#41 | eFG% | #11950.3 |
| 16.7#178 | TOV% | #12817.4 |
| 31.7#137 | ORB% | #31233.6 |
| 36.7#139 | FT rate | #12032.6 |
| 8.6#115 | Block% | #615.4 |
| 47.5#294 | Assist% | #20253.0 |
| 55.3#52 | 2P% | #9349.8 |
| 36.4#44 | 3P% | #19134.1 |
| 75.7#61 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#159 | 3PA rate | #28935.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Syracuse
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | SMU59 | L 69–86 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Pittsburgh79 | L 69–71 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Louisville15 | L 62–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wake Forest82 | L 83–88 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | North Carolina39 | L 64–77 |
Providence
| Thu, Mar 12 | A | St. John's25 | L 72–85 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Butler95 | W 91–81 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Georgetown65 | L 79–80 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Marquette31 | L 56–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Creighton36 | W 79–76 |
