Model line
Providence −26.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Providence >99%
Projected tempo
71.5
possessions
Site
Providence home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Providence a 26.5-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Fairfield offense vs Providence defense
| Fairfield O | Stat | Providence D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#238 | Tempo | #2172.3 |
| 48.8#294 | eFG% | #17851.4 |
| 15.3#85 | TOV% | #35313.1 |
| 35.8#30 | ORB% | #19430.8 |
| 27.7#344 | FT rate | #12732.7 |
| 10.5#272 | Block% | #1629.6 |
| 45.2#331 | Assist% | #24554.7 |
| 48.2#302 | 2P% | #11750.4 |
| 33.2#215 | 3P% | #26635.3 |
| 70.5#254 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#263 | 3PA rate | #21538.5 |
Providence offense vs Fairfield defense
| Providence O | Stat | Fairfield D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.3#21 | Tempo | #23867.1 |
| 55.0#41 | eFG% | #15851.0 |
| 16.7#178 | TOV% | #16416.8 |
| 31.7#137 | ORB% | #11029.1 |
| 36.7#139 | FT rate | #7130.4 |
| 8.6#115 | Block% | #1719.4 |
| 47.5#294 | Assist% | #18552.6 |
| 55.3#52 | 2P% | #12950.8 |
| 36.4#44 | 3P% | #19834.3 |
| 75.7#61 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#159 | 3PA rate | #28735.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Fairfield
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Siena271 | L 61–76 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Saint Peter's298 | W 74–55 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Manhattan331 | W 71–60 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Mount St. Mary's299 | L 47–69 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Siena271 | W 72–58 |
Providence
| Thu, Mar 12 | A | St. John's25 | L 72–85 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Butler95 | W 91–81 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Georgetown65 | L 79–80 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Marquette31 | L 56–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Creighton36 | W 79–76 |
