Model line
Providence −3.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Providence 66%
Projected tempo
71.5
possessions
Site
Rhode Island home
66%Win probability34%
The model makes Providence a 3.8-point favorite, winning about 66 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Providence offense vs Rhode Island defense
| Providence O | Stat | Rhode Island D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.3#21 | Tempo | #29866.0 |
| 55.0#41 | eFG% | #12250.4 |
| 16.7#178 | TOV% | #1021.1 |
| 31.7#137 | ORB% | #24731.8 |
| 36.7#139 | FT rate | #33542.6 |
| 8.6#115 | Block% | #5112.0 |
| 47.5#294 | Assist% | #22754.1 |
| 55.3#52 | 2P% | #7449.3 |
| 36.4#44 | 3P% | #23334.7 |
| 75.7#61 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#159 | 3PA rate | #11041.5 |
Rhode Island offense vs Providence defense
| Rhode Island O | Stat | Providence D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.0#298 | Tempo | #2172.3 |
| 50.1#231 | eFG% | #17851.4 |
| 19.2#329 | TOV% | #35313.1 |
| 31.0#165 | ORB% | #19430.8 |
| 38.4#93 | FT rate | #12732.7 |
| 10.2#253 | Block% | #1629.6 |
| 47.9#290 | Assist% | #24554.7 |
| 52.8#137 | 2P% | #11750.4 |
| 31.1#316 | 3P% | #26635.3 |
| 72.1#207 | FT% | — |
| 43.5#102 | 3PA rate | #21538.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Providence
| Thu, Mar 12 | A | St. John's25 | L 72–85 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Butler95 | W 91–81 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Georgetown65 | L 79–80 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Marquette31 | L 56–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Creighton36 | W 79–76 |
Rhode Island
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Duquesne128 | L 61–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Fordham111 | L 49–61 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Duquesne128 | W 64–52 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | L 55–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | St. Bonaventure158 | L 76–94 |
