Model line
Providence −1.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Providence 57%
Projected tempo
72.4
possessions
Site
Neutral
43%Win probability57%
The model makes Providence a 1.7-point favorite, winning about 57 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
VCU offense vs Providence defense
| VCU O | Stat | Providence D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#138 | Tempo | #2172.3 |
| 53.6#84 | eFG% | #17851.4 |
| 15.1#74 | TOV% | #35313.1 |
| 31.6#141 | ORB% | #19430.8 |
| 42.0#31 | FT rate | #12732.7 |
| 8.9#141 | Block% | #1629.6 |
| 51.9#193 | Assist% | #24554.7 |
| 53.0#131 | 2P% | #11750.4 |
| 36.3#47 | 3P% | #26635.3 |
| 73.6#151 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#97 | 3PA rate | #21538.5 |
Providence offense vs VCU defense
| Providence O | Stat | VCU D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.3#21 | Tempo | #13869.2 |
| 55.0#41 | eFG% | #7049.0 |
| 16.7#178 | TOV% | #15917.0 |
| 31.7#137 | ORB% | #16230.0 |
| 36.7#139 | FT rate | #12932.8 |
| 8.6#115 | Block% | #8111.2 |
| 47.5#294 | Assist% | #14050.8 |
| 55.3#52 | 2P% | #5748.7 |
| 36.4#44 | 3P% | #12133.0 |
| 75.7#61 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#159 | 3PA rate | #31635.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
VCU
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Illinois7 | L 55–76 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | North Carolina39 | W 82–78 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Dayton67 | W 70–62 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Saint Joseph's125 | W 77–64 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Duquesne128 | W 71–66 |
Providence
| Thu, Mar 12 | A | St. John's25 | L 72–85 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Butler95 | W 91–81 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Georgetown65 | L 79–80 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Marquette31 | L 56–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Creighton36 | W 79–76 |
