Model line
Providence −33.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Providence >99%
Projected tempo
72.2
possessions
Site
Providence home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Providence a 33.2-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Sacred Heart offense vs Providence defense
| Sacred Heart O | Stat | Providence D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#178 | Tempo | #2172.3 |
| 52.0#147 | eFG% | #17851.4 |
| 17.7#253 | TOV% | #35313.1 |
| 28.6#246 | ORB% | #19430.8 |
| 31.0#283 | FT rate | #12732.7 |
| 9.3#167 | Block% | #1629.6 |
| 58.6#49 | Assist% | #24554.7 |
| 50.4#245 | 2P% | #11750.4 |
| 35.7#77 | 3P% | #26635.3 |
| 78.0#19 | FT% | — |
| 50.7#12 | 3PA rate | #21538.5 |
Providence offense vs Sacred Heart defense
| Providence O | Stat | Sacred Heart D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.3#21 | Tempo | #17868.4 |
| 55.0#41 | eFG% | #28453.5 |
| 16.7#178 | TOV% | #32114.5 |
| 31.7#137 | ORB% | #19630.9 |
| 36.7#139 | FT rate | #2327.0 |
| 8.6#115 | Block% | #2198.6 |
| 47.5#294 | Assist% | #33559.8 |
| 55.3#52 | 2P% | #29254.4 |
| 36.4#44 | 3P% | #23734.8 |
| 75.7#61 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#159 | 3PA rate | #5343.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Sacred Heart
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Merrimack211 | L 48–70 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Iona222 | W 91–80 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Mount St. Mary's299 | W 77–69 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Marist257 | L 63–65 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Fairfield231 | L 68–78 |
Providence
| Thu, Mar 12 | A | St. John's25 | L 72–85 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Butler95 | W 91–81 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Georgetown65 | L 79–80 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Marquette31 | L 56–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Creighton36 | W 79–76 |
