Model line
Providence −13.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Providence 92%
Projected tempo
72.1
possessions
Site
Providence home
8%Win probability92%
The model makes Providence a 13.3-point favorite, winning about 92 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Colorado offense vs Providence defense
| Colorado O | Stat | Providence D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.1#90 | Tempo | #2172.3 |
| 53.2#92 | eFG% | #17851.4 |
| 14.5#41 | TOV% | #35313.1 |
| 29.0#236 | ORB% | #19430.8 |
| 35.8#161 | FT rate | #12732.7 |
| 8.8#133 | Block% | #1629.6 |
| 55.7#95 | Assist% | #24554.7 |
| 53.3#115 | 2P% | #11750.4 |
| 35.3#98 | 3P% | #26635.3 |
| 75.7#60 | FT% | — |
| 35.1#273 | 3PA rate | #21538.5 |
Providence offense vs Colorado defense
| Providence O | Stat | Colorado D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.3#21 | Tempo | #9070.1 |
| 55.0#41 | eFG% | #26052.9 |
| 16.7#178 | TOV% | #25815.4 |
| 31.7#137 | ORB% | #14829.8 |
| 36.7#139 | FT rate | #21836.3 |
| 8.6#115 | Block% | #2068.8 |
| 47.5#294 | Assist% | #14451.0 |
| 55.3#52 | 2P% | #17251.6 |
| 36.4#44 | 3P% | #33936.8 |
| 75.7#61 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#159 | 3PA rate | #29435.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Colorado
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Oklahoma22 | L 86–90 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Oklahoma St.52 | L 83–92 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Arizona5 | L 79–89 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Utah88 | W 92–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Houston4 | L 62–102 |
Providence
| Thu, Mar 12 | A | St. John's25 | L 72–85 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Butler95 | W 91–81 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Georgetown65 | L 79–80 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Marquette31 | L 56–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Creighton36 | W 79–76 |
