Model line
Providence −34.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Providence >99%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
Providence home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Providence a 34.0-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Maine offense vs Providence defense
| Maine O | Stat | Providence D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.9#333 | Tempo | #2172.3 |
| 49.6#258 | eFG% | #17851.4 |
| 19.1#326 | TOV% | #35313.1 |
| 19.7#364 | ORB% | #19430.8 |
| 38.4#92 | FT rate | #12732.7 |
| 9.0#144 | Block% | #1629.6 |
| 54.4#129 | Assist% | #24554.7 |
| 51.2#205 | 2P% | #11750.4 |
| 31.2#315 | 3P% | #26635.3 |
| 64.3#363 | FT% | — |
| 37.0#230 | 3PA rate | #21538.5 |
Providence offense vs Maine defense
| Providence O | Stat | Maine D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.3#21 | Tempo | #33364.9 |
| 55.0#41 | eFG% | #13550.6 |
| 16.7#178 | TOV% | #3619.4 |
| 31.7#137 | ORB% | #32334.3 |
| 36.7#139 | FT rate | #14933.9 |
| 8.6#115 | Block% | #1899.1 |
| 47.5#294 | Assist% | #17752.4 |
| 55.3#52 | 2P% | #29554.5 |
| 36.4#44 | 3P% | #429.3 |
| 75.7#61 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#159 | 3PA rate | #26836.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Maine
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | NJIT336 | L 58–60 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | UMass Lowell306 | L 56–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Binghamton349 | L 67–74 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Albany330 | W 70–59 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | New Hampshire342 | W 61–58 |
Providence
| Thu, Mar 12 | A | St. John's25 | L 72–85 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Butler95 | W 91–81 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Georgetown65 | L 79–80 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Marquette31 | L 56–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Creighton36 | W 79–76 |
