Model line
Marquette −6.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Marquette 77%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
Marquette home
23%Win probability77%
The model makes Marquette a 6.9-point favorite, winning about 77 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Wisconsin offense vs Marquette defense
| Wisconsin O | Stat | Marquette D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0#151 | Tempo | #9170.1 |
| 54.5#54 | eFG% | #13650.6 |
| 12.8#4 | TOV% | #3919.3 |
| 29.1#234 | ORB% | #33034.7 |
| 31.5#268 | FT rate | #10432.0 |
| 12.5#349 | Block% | #2398.4 |
| 57.3#67 | Assist% | #33660.2 |
| 54.7#66 | 2P% | #16551.5 |
| 36.2#51 | 3P% | #9932.7 |
| 78.8#8 | FT% | — |
| 52.1#6 | 3PA rate | #18139.5 |
Marquette offense vs Wisconsin defense
| Marquette O | Stat | Wisconsin D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.1#91 | Tempo | #15169.0 |
| 50.5#214 | eFG% | #18351.4 |
| 16.0#140 | TOV% | #32814.3 |
| 29.7#217 | ORB% | #7828.2 |
| 32.8#240 | FT rate | #5629.8 |
| 10.0#238 | Block% | #2228.6 |
| 58.1#54 | Assist% | #14150.8 |
| 52.7#141 | 2P% | #21252.2 |
| 31.7#294 | 3P% | #15033.4 |
| 67.5#333 | FT% | — |
| 42.2#131 | 3PA rate | #14340.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Wisconsin
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | High Point61 | L 82–83 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Michigan24 | L 65–68 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Illinois7 | W 91–88 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Washington78 | W 85–82 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Purdue29 | W 97–93 |
Marquette
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Xavier45 | L 87–89 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Connecticut3 | W 68–62 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Providence43 | W 78–56 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | DePaul62 | L 51–62 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Georgetown65 | W 76–60 |
