Model line
Marquette −38.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Marquette >99%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Marquette home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Marquette a 38.4-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Chicago St. offense vs Marquette defense
| Chicago St. O | Stat | Marquette D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#302 | Tempo | #9170.1 |
| 45.3#358 | eFG% | #13650.6 |
| 15.6#110 | TOV% | #3919.3 |
| 28.3#252 | ORB% | #33034.7 |
| 30.0#310 | FT rate | #10432.0 |
| 8.7#120 | Block% | #2398.4 |
| 50.3#234 | Assist% | #33660.2 |
| 44.0#360 | 2P% | #16551.5 |
| 32.1#274 | 3P% | #9932.7 |
| 75.0#80 | FT% | — |
| 30.9#341 | 3PA rate | #18139.5 |
Marquette offense vs Chicago St. defense
| Marquette O | Stat | Chicago St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.1#91 | Tempo | #30265.8 |
| 50.5#214 | eFG% | #35456.7 |
| 16.0#140 | TOV% | #2020.1 |
| 29.7#217 | ORB% | #33935.0 |
| 32.8#240 | FT rate | #26038.0 |
| 10.0#238 | Block% | #3574.9 |
| 58.1#54 | Assist% | #36572.7 |
| 52.7#141 | 2P% | #36460.0 |
| 31.7#294 | 3P% | #28835.6 |
| 67.5#333 | FT% | — |
| 42.2#131 | 3PA rate | #350.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Chicago St.
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | LIU262 | L 75–79 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wagner338 | L 61–80 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | LIU262 | L 56–73 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Central Connecticut334 | W 70–51 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Fairleigh Dickinson345 | L 59–60 |
Marquette
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Xavier45 | L 87–89 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Connecticut3 | W 68–62 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Providence43 | W 78–56 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | DePaul62 | L 51–62 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Georgetown65 | W 76–60 |
