Model line
Missouri −0.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Missouri 52%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
Neutral
52%Win probability48%
The model makes Missouri a 0.5-point favorite, winning about 52 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Missouri offense vs Marquette defense
| Missouri O | Stat | Marquette D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#187 | Tempo | #9170.1 |
| 55.0#39 | eFG% | #13650.6 |
| 17.8#260 | TOV% | #3919.3 |
| 34.9#50 | ORB% | #33034.7 |
| 42.1#29 | FT rate | #10432.0 |
| 9.7#210 | Block% | #2398.4 |
| 51.2#211 | Assist% | #33660.2 |
| 56.4#40 | 2P% | #16551.5 |
| 35.0#116 | 3P% | #9932.7 |
| 69.1#296 | FT% | — |
| 36.4#241 | 3PA rate | #18139.5 |
Marquette offense vs Missouri defense
| Marquette O | Stat | Missouri D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.1#91 | Tempo | #18768.3 |
| 50.5#214 | eFG% | #18751.5 |
| 16.0#140 | TOV% | #18616.5 |
| 29.7#217 | ORB% | #24231.7 |
| 32.8#240 | FT rate | #19735.5 |
| 10.0#238 | Block% | #10810.6 |
| 58.1#54 | Assist% | #18152.5 |
| 52.7#141 | 2P% | #5548.7 |
| 31.7#294 | 3P% | #34136.8 |
| 67.5#333 | FT% | — |
| 42.2#131 | 3PA rate | #7243.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Missouri
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Miami FL13 | L 66–80 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kentucky20 | L 72–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Arkansas23 | L 84–88 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Oklahoma22 | L 64–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Mississippi St.70 | W 88–64 |
Marquette
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Xavier45 | L 87–89 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Connecticut3 | W 68–62 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Providence43 | W 78–56 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | DePaul62 | L 51–62 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Georgetown65 | W 76–60 |
