Model line
Michigan −8.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Michigan 82%
Projected tempo
71.5
possessions
Site
Michigan home
19%Win probability82%
The model makes Michigan a 8.5-point favorite, winning about 82 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Marquette offense vs Michigan defense
| Marquette O | Stat | Michigan D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.1#91 | Tempo | #4171.3 |
| 50.5#214 | eFG% | #345.2 |
| 16.0#140 | TOV% | #26515.3 |
| 29.7#217 | ORB% | #4027.1 |
| 32.8#240 | FT rate | #1526.2 |
| 10.0#238 | Block% | #316.5 |
| 58.1#54 | Assist% | #5447.3 |
| 52.7#141 | 2P% | #444.5 |
| 31.7#294 | 3P% | #3130.8 |
| 67.5#333 | FT% | — |
| 42.2#131 | 3PA rate | #9242.2 |
Michigan offense vs Marquette defense
| Michigan O | Stat | Marquette D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#41 | Tempo | #9170.1 |
| 58.7#6 | eFG% | #13650.6 |
| 16.5#165 | TOV% | #3919.3 |
| 35.0#47 | ORB% | #33034.7 |
| 37.7#109 | FT rate | #10432.0 |
| 9.0#145 | Block% | #2398.4 |
| 61.1#25 | Assist% | #33660.2 |
| 61.5#2 | 2P% | #16551.5 |
| 36.6#36 | 3P% | #9932.7 |
| 74.7#94 | FT% | — |
| 41.7#140 | 3PA rate | #18139.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Marquette
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Xavier45 | L 87–89 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Connecticut3 | W 68–62 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Providence43 | W 78–56 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | DePaul62 | L 51–62 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Georgetown65 | W 76–60 |
Michigan
| Mon, Apr 6 | N | Connecticut3 | W 69–63 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Arizona5 | W 91–73 |
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Tennessee11 | W 95–62 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Alabama16 | W 90–77 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Saint Louis60 | W 95–72 |
