Model line
Georgetown −3.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Georgetown 64%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Georgetown home
36%Win probability64%
The model makes Georgetown a 3.4-point favorite, winning about 64 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
North Carolina offense vs Georgetown defense
| North Carolina O | Stat | Georgetown D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#159 | Tempo | #23967.1 |
| 54.3#57 | eFG% | #9449.9 |
| 13.9#20 | TOV% | #21116.2 |
| 31.2#158 | ORB% | #22731.5 |
| 37.1#126 | FT rate | #14733.9 |
| 9.1#152 | Block% | #12210.3 |
| 57.2#69 | Assist% | #25054.9 |
| 56.5#38 | 2P% | #9950.0 |
| 34.2#164 | 3P% | #13933.3 |
| 68.2#320 | FT% | — |
| 42.2#132 | 3PA rate | #12041.2 |
Georgetown offense vs North Carolina defense
| Georgetown O | Stat | North Carolina D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#239 | Tempo | #15968.8 |
| 49.6#257 | eFG% | #4548.3 |
| 15.8#121 | TOV% | #34513.6 |
| 32.5#104 | ORB% | #6327.8 |
| 37.3#122 | FT rate | #323.8 |
| 9.1#151 | Block% | #2308.5 |
| 57.8#59 | Assist% | #6247.8 |
| 50.7#224 | 2P% | #1746.2 |
| 31.8#286 | 3P% | #23034.7 |
| 74.0#132 | FT% | — |
| 35.2#270 | 3PA rate | #26137.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
North Carolina
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | VCU53 | L 78–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Clemson44 | L 79–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Duke1 | L 61–76 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Clemson44 | W 67–63 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Virginia Tech48 | W 89–82 |
Georgetown
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Connecticut3 | L 51–67 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Villanova47 | W 78–64 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | DePaul62 | W 63–56 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Providence43 | W 80–79 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | St. John's25 | L 69–72 |
