Model line
Creighton −35.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Creighton >99%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
Creighton home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Creighton a 35.3-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mount St. Mary's offense vs Creighton defense
| Mount St. Mary's O | Stat | Creighton D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#215 | Tempo | #17068.5 |
| 50.6#208 | eFG% | #16451.1 |
| 22.4#364 | TOV% | #33614.0 |
| 32.3#112 | ORB% | #14329.7 |
| 33.3#231 | FT rate | #424.6 |
| 8.5#102 | Block% | #3366.2 |
| 55.2#109 | Assist% | #14350.9 |
| 51.8#175 | 2P% | #10650.2 |
| 32.7#246 | 3P% | #26935.4 |
| 67.4#335 | FT% | — |
| 42.6#123 | 3PA rate | #35432.0 |
Creighton offense vs Mount St. Mary's defense
| Creighton O | Stat | Mount St. Mary's D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#170 | Tempo | #21567.7 |
| 53.1#96 | eFG% | #2347.2 |
| 16.5#163 | TOV% | #26615.3 |
| 27.5#282 | ORB% | #11429.1 |
| 27.5#346 | FT rate | #24737.3 |
| 10.6#277 | Block% | #2009.0 |
| 58.4#51 | Assist% | #19852.9 |
| 54.3#78 | 2P% | #1646.2 |
| 34.5#148 | 3P% | #7932.3 |
| 76.0#51 | FT% | — |
| 48.2#23 | 3PA rate | #3344.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mount St. Mary's
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Siena271 | L 58–63 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Fairfield231 | W 69–47 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Sacred Heart310 | L 69–77 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Canisius339 | W 68–47 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Niagara318 | W 76–63 |
Creighton
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | West Virginia51 | L 70–87 |
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Rutgers75 | W 82–69 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Seton Hall69 | L 61–72 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Butler95 | W 76–59 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Providence43 | L 76–79 |
