Model line
Creighton −4.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Creighton 70%
Projected tempo
71.2
possessions
Site
Creighton home
30%Win probability70%
The model makes Creighton a 4.9-point favorite, winning about 70 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Gonzaga offense vs Creighton defense
| Gonzaga O | Stat | Creighton D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#86 | Tempo | #17068.5 |
| 55.6#26 | eFG% | #16451.1 |
| 13.6#16 | TOV% | #33614.0 |
| 34.8#52 | ORB% | #14329.7 |
| 31.0#282 | FT rate | #424.6 |
| 6.0#3 | Block% | #3366.2 |
| 57.5#62 | Assist% | #14350.9 |
| 58.2#19 | 2P% | #10650.2 |
| 33.3#210 | 3P% | #26935.4 |
| 70.7#247 | FT% | — |
| 30.8#342 | 3PA rate | #35432.0 |
Creighton offense vs Gonzaga defense
| Creighton O | Stat | Gonzaga D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#170 | Tempo | #8670.2 |
| 53.1#96 | eFG% | #1546.3 |
| 16.5#163 | TOV% | #2220.0 |
| 27.5#282 | ORB% | #1625.7 |
| 27.5#346 | FT rate | #8230.9 |
| 10.6#277 | Block% | #8411.1 |
| 58.4#51 | Assist% | #19452.8 |
| 54.3#78 | 2P% | #2146.6 |
| 34.5#148 | 3P% | #2430.6 |
| 76.0#51 | FT% | — |
| 48.2#23 | 3PA rate | #7542.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Gonzaga
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Texas10 | L 68–74 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Kennesaw St.146 | W 73–64 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Santa Clara86 | W 79–68 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Oregon St.93 | W 65–56 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Saint Mary's74 | L 59–70 |
Creighton
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | West Virginia51 | L 70–87 |
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Rutgers75 | W 82–69 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Seton Hall69 | L 61–72 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Butler95 | W 76–59 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Providence43 | L 76–79 |
