Model line
Michigan −2.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Michigan 59%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Neutral
41%Win probability59%
The model makes Michigan a 2.3-point favorite, winning about 59 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Creighton offense vs Michigan defense
| Creighton O | Stat | Michigan D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#170 | Tempo | #4171.3 |
| 53.1#96 | eFG% | #345.2 |
| 16.5#163 | TOV% | #26515.3 |
| 27.5#282 | ORB% | #4027.1 |
| 27.5#346 | FT rate | #1526.2 |
| 10.6#277 | Block% | #316.5 |
| 58.4#51 | Assist% | #5447.3 |
| 54.3#78 | 2P% | #444.5 |
| 34.5#148 | 3P% | #3130.8 |
| 76.0#51 | FT% | — |
| 48.2#23 | 3PA rate | #9242.2 |
Michigan offense vs Creighton defense
| Michigan O | Stat | Creighton D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#41 | Tempo | #17068.5 |
| 58.7#6 | eFG% | #16451.1 |
| 16.5#165 | TOV% | #33614.0 |
| 35.0#47 | ORB% | #14329.7 |
| 37.7#109 | FT rate | #424.6 |
| 9.0#145 | Block% | #3366.2 |
| 61.1#25 | Assist% | #14350.9 |
| 61.5#2 | 2P% | #10650.2 |
| 36.6#36 | 3P% | #26935.4 |
| 74.7#94 | FT% | — |
| 41.7#140 | 3PA rate | #35432.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Creighton
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | West Virginia51 | L 70–87 |
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Rutgers75 | W 82–69 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Seton Hall69 | L 61–72 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Butler95 | W 76–59 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Providence43 | L 76–79 |
Michigan
| Mon, Apr 6 | N | Connecticut3 | W 69–63 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Arizona5 | W 91–73 |
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Tennessee11 | W 95–62 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Alabama16 | W 90–77 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Saint Louis60 | W 95–72 |
