Model line
Texas −39.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas >99%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Texas home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Texas a 39.9-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Texas A&M Commerce offense vs Texas defense
| Texas A&M Commerce O | Stat | Texas D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#175 | Tempo | #18068.4 |
| 49.2#286 | eFG% | #14150.7 |
| 19.2#330 | TOV% | #35213.2 |
| 25.7#329 | ORB% | #2826.6 |
| 32.0#257 | FT rate | #29939.8 |
| 10.7#287 | Block% | #2787.7 |
| 62.4#14 | Assist% | #3646.2 |
| 51.2#207 | 2P% | #9449.8 |
| 31.3#313 | 3P% | #25235.1 |
| 67.9#328 | FT% | — |
| 46.2#44 | 3PA rate | #34633.1 |
Texas offense vs Texas A&M Commerce defense
| Texas O | Stat | Texas A&M Commerce D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#180 | Tempo | #17568.5 |
| 53.9#71 | eFG% | #26752.9 |
| 15.1#73 | TOV% | #15817.0 |
| 35.4#38 | ORB% | #29332.8 |
| 44.7#7 | FT rate | #16434.5 |
| 10.2#256 | Block% | #2208.6 |
| 43.9#346 | Assist% | #28056.0 |
| 54.8#63 | 2P% | #14451.0 |
| 34.8#133 | 3P% | #34737.3 |
| 74.7#98 | FT% | — |
| 35.5#262 | 3PA rate | #23538.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Texas A&M Commerce
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Texas A&M Corpus Chris203 | L 71–84 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UT Rio Grande Valley251 | L 55–63 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | H | Houston Christian253 | L 68–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Incarnate Word302 | L 73–82 |
| Mon, Feb 16 | H | Southeastern Louisiana269 | W 70–53 |
Texas
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Purdue29 | L 77–79 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Gonzaga17 | W 74–68 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | BYU28 | W 79–71 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | NC State54 | W 68–66 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 66–76 |
