Model line
Texas −17.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas 96%
Projected tempo
71.6
possessions
Site
Texas home
4%Win probability96%
The model makes Texas a 17.0-point favorite, winning about 96 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Memphis offense vs Texas defense
| Memphis O | Stat | Texas D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#35 | Tempo | #18068.4 |
| 48.7#296 | eFG% | #14150.7 |
| 18.9#318 | TOV% | #35213.2 |
| 35.3#41 | ORB% | #2826.6 |
| 34.7#191 | FT rate | #29939.8 |
| 10.4#267 | Block% | #2787.7 |
| 49.8#245 | Assist% | #3646.2 |
| 49.4#274 | 2P% | #9449.8 |
| 31.6#301 | 3P% | #25235.1 |
| 72.1#205 | FT% | — |
| 33.7#303 | 3PA rate | #34633.1 |
Texas offense vs Memphis defense
| Texas O | Stat | Memphis D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#180 | Tempo | #3571.4 |
| 53.9#71 | eFG% | #5448.7 |
| 15.1#73 | TOV% | #7318.5 |
| 35.4#38 | ORB% | #35035.6 |
| 44.7#7 | FT rate | #32942.4 |
| 10.2#256 | Block% | #3212.7 |
| 43.9#346 | Assist% | #24454.7 |
| 54.8#63 | 2P% | #13751.0 |
| 34.8#133 | 3P% | #2330.5 |
| 74.7#98 | FT% | — |
| 35.5#262 | 3PA rate | #6343.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Memphis
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Tulane153 | L 69–81 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Tulane153 | W 96–95 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | South Florida92 | L 89–96 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | East Carolina185 | L 68–84 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Wichita St.80 | L 82–88 |
Texas
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Purdue29 | L 77–79 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Gonzaga17 | W 74–68 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | BYU28 | W 79–71 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | NC State54 | W 68–66 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 66–76 |
