Model line
Texas −1.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas 56%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Neutral
44%Win probability56%
The model makes Texas a 1.4-point favorite, winning about 56 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Miami FL offense vs Texas defense
| Miami FL O | Stat | Texas D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.3#129 | Tempo | #18068.4 |
| 55.5#30 | eFG% | #14150.7 |
| 16.1#145 | TOV% | #35213.2 |
| 37.1#16 | ORB% | #2826.6 |
| 37.8#107 | FT rate | #29939.8 |
| 10.3#261 | Block% | #2787.7 |
| 54.2#136 | Assist% | #3646.2 |
| 56.8#35 | 2P% | #9449.8 |
| 35.1#109 | 3P% | #25235.1 |
| 68.1#322 | FT% | — |
| 31.9#330 | 3PA rate | #34633.1 |
Texas offense vs Miami FL defense
| Texas O | Stat | Miami FL D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#180 | Tempo | #12969.3 |
| 53.9#71 | eFG% | #18651.5 |
| 15.1#73 | TOV% | #9018.2 |
| 35.4#38 | ORB% | #2026.1 |
| 44.7#7 | FT rate | #4629.1 |
| 10.2#256 | Block% | #1459.9 |
| 43.9#346 | Assist% | #25254.9 |
| 54.8#63 | 2P% | #11250.3 |
| 34.8#133 | 3P% | #27435.4 |
| 74.7#98 | FT% | — |
| 35.5#262 | 3PA rate | #12341.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Miami FL
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Purdue29 | L 69–79 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Missouri34 | W 80–66 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Virginia14 | L 62–84 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Louisville15 | W 78–73 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Louisville15 | L 89–92 |
Texas
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Purdue29 | L 77–79 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Gonzaga17 | W 74–68 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | BYU28 | W 79–71 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | NC State54 | W 68–66 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 66–76 |
