Model line
Texas −8.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas 80%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Neutral
20%Win probability80%
The model makes Texas a 8.2-point favorite, winning about 80 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Georgetown offense vs Texas defense
| Georgetown O | Stat | Texas D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#239 | Tempo | #18068.4 |
| 49.6#257 | eFG% | #14150.7 |
| 15.8#121 | TOV% | #35213.2 |
| 32.5#104 | ORB% | #2826.6 |
| 37.3#122 | FT rate | #29939.8 |
| 9.1#151 | Block% | #2787.7 |
| 57.8#59 | Assist% | #3646.2 |
| 50.7#224 | 2P% | #9449.8 |
| 31.8#286 | 3P% | #25235.1 |
| 74.0#132 | FT% | — |
| 35.2#270 | 3PA rate | #34633.1 |
Texas offense vs Georgetown defense
| Texas O | Stat | Georgetown D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#180 | Tempo | #23967.1 |
| 53.9#71 | eFG% | #9449.9 |
| 15.1#73 | TOV% | #21116.2 |
| 35.4#38 | ORB% | #22731.5 |
| 44.7#7 | FT rate | #14733.9 |
| 10.2#256 | Block% | #12210.3 |
| 43.9#346 | Assist% | #25054.9 |
| 54.8#63 | 2P% | #9950.0 |
| 34.8#133 | 3P% | #13933.3 |
| 74.7#98 | FT% | — |
| 35.5#262 | 3PA rate | #12041.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Georgetown
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Connecticut3 | L 51–67 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Villanova47 | W 78–64 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | DePaul62 | W 63–56 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Providence43 | W 80–79 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | St. John's25 | L 69–72 |
Texas
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Purdue29 | L 77–79 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Gonzaga17 | W 74–68 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | BYU28 | W 79–71 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | NC State54 | W 68–66 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 66–76 |
