Model line
Texas −3.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas 63%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Neutral
37%Win probability63%
The model makes Texas a 3.1-point favorite, winning about 63 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Baylor offense vs Texas defense
| Baylor O | Stat | Texas D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.6#109 | Tempo | #18068.4 |
| 53.8#72 | eFG% | #14150.7 |
| 16.5#161 | TOV% | #35213.2 |
| 37.5#12 | ORB% | #2826.6 |
| 34.8#187 | FT rate | #29939.8 |
| 8.8#129 | Block% | #2787.7 |
| 53.3#156 | Assist% | #3646.2 |
| 55.2#53 | 2P% | #9449.8 |
| 34.5#147 | 3P% | #25235.1 |
| 73.3#158 | FT% | — |
| 39.6#180 | 3PA rate | #34633.1 |
Texas offense vs Baylor defense
| Texas O | Stat | Baylor D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#180 | Tempo | #10969.6 |
| 53.9#71 | eFG% | #23852.5 |
| 15.1#73 | TOV% | #21716.1 |
| 35.4#38 | ORB% | #26732.2 |
| 44.7#7 | FT rate | #6130.2 |
| 10.2#256 | Block% | #1549.7 |
| 43.9#346 | Assist% | #7348.3 |
| 54.8#63 | 2P% | #20352.2 |
| 34.8#133 | 3P% | #27835.5 |
| 74.7#98 | FT% | — |
| 35.5#262 | 3PA rate | #32334.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Baylor
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Oklahoma22 | L 69–82 |
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Minnesota63 | W 67–48 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Arizona St.68 | L 79–83 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Utah88 | W 101–75 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Houston4 | L 64–77 |
Texas
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Purdue29 | L 77–79 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Gonzaga17 | W 74–68 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | BYU28 | W 79–71 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | NC State54 | W 68–66 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 66–76 |
