Model line
Texas −40.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas >99%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Texas home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Texas a 40.4-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Grambling St. offense vs Texas defense
| Grambling St. O | Stat | Texas D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#120 | Tempo | #18068.4 |
| 48.8#295 | eFG% | #14150.7 |
| 21.2#357 | TOV% | #35213.2 |
| 30.3#188 | ORB% | #2826.6 |
| 41.1#47 | FT rate | #29939.8 |
| 13.1#356 | Block% | #2787.7 |
| 51.6#199 | Assist% | #3646.2 |
| 48.9#285 | 2P% | #9449.8 |
| 32.3#265 | 3P% | #25235.1 |
| 72.9#172 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#210 | 3PA rate | #34633.1 |
Texas offense vs Grambling St. defense
| Texas O | Stat | Grambling St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#180 | Tempo | #12069.4 |
| 53.9#71 | eFG% | #9650.0 |
| 15.1#73 | TOV% | #1220.8 |
| 35.4#38 | ORB% | #28232.5 |
| 44.7#7 | FT rate | #30140.0 |
| 10.2#256 | Block% | #2907.5 |
| 43.9#346 | Assist% | #18652.6 |
| 54.8#63 | 2P% | #11850.5 |
| 34.8#133 | 3P% | #9732.7 |
| 74.7#98 | FT% | — |
| 35.5#262 | 3PA rate | #31235.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Grambling St.
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Northern Illinois278 | W 89–87 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Jackson St.314 | L 65–68 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Mississippi Valley St.365 | W 77–52 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Alabama St.295 | W 65–63 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Alabama A&M313 | L 63–77 |
Texas
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Purdue29 | L 77–79 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Gonzaga17 | W 74–68 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | BYU28 | W 79–71 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | NC State54 | W 68–66 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 66–76 |
