Model line
Texas −41.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas >99%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
Texas home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Texas a 41.0-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Chicago St. offense vs Texas defense
| Chicago St. O | Stat | Texas D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#302 | Tempo | #18068.4 |
| 45.3#358 | eFG% | #14150.7 |
| 15.6#110 | TOV% | #35213.2 |
| 28.3#252 | ORB% | #2826.6 |
| 30.0#310 | FT rate | #29939.8 |
| 8.7#120 | Block% | #2787.7 |
| 50.3#234 | Assist% | #3646.2 |
| 44.0#360 | 2P% | #9449.8 |
| 32.1#274 | 3P% | #25235.1 |
| 75.0#80 | FT% | — |
| 30.9#341 | 3PA rate | #34633.1 |
Texas offense vs Chicago St. defense
| Texas O | Stat | Chicago St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#180 | Tempo | #30265.8 |
| 53.9#71 | eFG% | #35456.7 |
| 15.1#73 | TOV% | #2020.1 |
| 35.4#38 | ORB% | #33935.0 |
| 44.7#7 | FT rate | #26038.0 |
| 10.2#256 | Block% | #3574.9 |
| 43.9#346 | Assist% | #36572.7 |
| 54.8#63 | 2P% | #36460.0 |
| 34.8#133 | 3P% | #28835.6 |
| 74.7#98 | FT% | — |
| 35.5#262 | 3PA rate | #350.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Chicago St.
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | LIU262 | L 75–79 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wagner338 | L 61–80 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | LIU262 | L 56–73 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Central Connecticut334 | W 70–51 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Fairleigh Dickinson345 | L 59–60 |
Texas
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Purdue29 | L 77–79 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Gonzaga17 | W 74–68 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | BYU28 | W 79–71 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | NC State54 | W 68–66 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 66–76 |
