Model line
Tennessee −40.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Tennessee >99%
Projected tempo
69.1
possessions
Site
Tennessee home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Tennessee a 40.1-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Morehead St. offense vs Tennessee defense
| Morehead St. O | Stat | Tennessee D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#251 | Tempo | #23167.3 |
| 49.2#283 | eFG% | #3447.5 |
| 18.0#271 | TOV% | #19816.4 |
| 35.8#33 | ORB% | #5627.7 |
| 37.7#110 | FT rate | #21035.9 |
| 9.2#158 | Block% | #8011.2 |
| 47.4#296 | Assist% | #2645.3 |
| 49.7#266 | 2P% | #6849.2 |
| 32.0#280 | 3P% | #1730.3 |
| 74.1#127 | FT% | — |
| 30.5#349 | 3PA rate | #3644.7 |
Tennessee offense vs Morehead St. defense
| Tennessee O | Stat | Morehead St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#231 | Tempo | #25166.8 |
| 51.8#157 | eFG% | #11150.2 |
| 17.4#230 | TOV% | #26115.4 |
| 45.1#1 | ORB% | #35135.8 |
| 38.1#100 | FT rate | #20135.6 |
| 9.3#169 | Block% | #2448.3 |
| 59.9#34 | Assist% | #24754.8 |
| 52.3#160 | 2P% | #6749.1 |
| 33.8#185 | 3P% | #21734.5 |
| 69.4#290 | FT% | — |
| 31.8#332 | 3PA rate | #20239.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Morehead St.
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Tennessee St.204 | L 67–93 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Southeast Missouri266 | W 66–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Little Rock219 | W 76–70 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Southern Indiana324 | W 64–63 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Western Illinois363 | W 81–59 |
Tennessee
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Michigan24 | L 62–95 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Iowa St.6 | W 76–62 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Virginia14 | W 79–72 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Miami OH108 | W 78–56 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Vanderbilt21 | L 68–75 |
