Model line
Purdue −6.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Purdue 76%
Projected tempo
68.7
possessions
Site
Purdue home
24%Win probability76%
The model makes Purdue a 6.7-point favorite, winning about 76 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Tennessee offense vs Purdue defense
| Tennessee O | Stat | Purdue D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#231 | Tempo | #32365.3 |
| 51.8#157 | eFG% | #23152.3 |
| 17.4#230 | TOV% | #25115.5 |
| 45.1#1 | ORB% | #2226.3 |
| 38.1#100 | FT rate | #825.4 |
| 9.3#169 | Block% | #1949.1 |
| 59.9#34 | Assist% | #31157.8 |
| 52.3#160 | 2P% | #24853.3 |
| 33.8#185 | 3P% | #18334.0 |
| 69.4#290 | FT% | — |
| 31.8#332 | 3PA rate | #3544.7 |
Purdue offense vs Tennessee defense
| Purdue O | Stat | Tennessee D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#323 | Tempo | #23167.3 |
| 58.1#10 | eFG% | #3447.5 |
| 13.6#17 | TOV% | #19816.4 |
| 36.8#19 | ORB% | #5627.7 |
| 28.3#339 | FT rate | #21035.9 |
| 6.7#14 | Block% | #8011.2 |
| 66.5#4 | Assist% | #2645.3 |
| 58.4#18 | 2P% | #6849.2 |
| 38.5#13 | 3P% | #1730.3 |
| 74.1#128 | FT% | — |
| 40.8#151 | 3PA rate | #3644.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Tennessee
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Michigan24 | L 62–95 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Iowa St.6 | W 76–62 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Virginia14 | W 79–72 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Miami OH108 | W 78–56 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Vanderbilt21 | L 68–75 |
Purdue
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Arizona5 | L 64–79 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Texas10 | W 79–77 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Miami FL13 | W 79–69 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Queens182 | W 104–71 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Michigan24 | W 80–72 |
