Model line
Tennessee −4.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Tennessee 68%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Neutral
32%Win probability68%
The model makes Tennessee a 4.5-point favorite, winning about 68 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
NC State offense vs Tennessee defense
| NC State O | Stat | Tennessee D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#115 | Tempo | #23167.3 |
| 55.0#40 | eFG% | #3447.5 |
| 13.1#10 | TOV% | #19816.4 |
| 28.2#258 | ORB% | #5627.7 |
| 35.1#174 | FT rate | #21035.9 |
| 9.4#177 | Block% | #8011.2 |
| 54.6#123 | Assist% | #2645.3 |
| 52.6#146 | 2P% | #6849.2 |
| 38.8#8 | 3P% | #1730.3 |
| 76.8#37 | FT% | — |
| 43.4#104 | 3PA rate | #3644.7 |
Tennessee offense vs NC State defense
| Tennessee O | Stat | NC State D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#231 | Tempo | #11569.5 |
| 51.8#157 | eFG% | #25452.7 |
| 17.4#230 | TOV% | #9118.2 |
| 45.1#1 | ORB% | #18230.5 |
| 38.1#100 | FT rate | #23236.9 |
| 9.3#169 | Block% | #10210.7 |
| 59.9#34 | Assist% | #9649.3 |
| 52.3#160 | 2P% | #20952.2 |
| 33.8#185 | 3P% | #28135.5 |
| 69.4#290 | FT% | — |
| 31.8#332 | 3PA rate | #3444.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
NC State
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | Texas10 | L 66–68 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Virginia14 | L 74–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Pittsburgh79 | W 98–88 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Stanford81 | L 84–85 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Duke1 | L 64–93 |
Tennessee
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Michigan24 | L 62–95 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Iowa St.6 | W 76–62 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Virginia14 | W 79–72 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Miami OH108 | W 78–56 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Vanderbilt21 | L 68–75 |
