Model line
Tennessee −14.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Tennessee 93%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Tennessee home
7%Win probability93%
The model makes Tennessee a 14.1-point favorite, winning about 93 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Florida St. offense vs Tennessee defense
| Florida St. O | Stat | Tennessee D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.8#27 | Tempo | #23167.3 |
| 52.3#132 | eFG% | #3447.5 |
| 15.2#80 | TOV% | #19816.4 |
| 30.8#171 | ORB% | #5627.7 |
| 34.7#190 | FT rate | #21035.9 |
| 12.8#353 | Block% | #8011.2 |
| 52.5#179 | Assist% | #2645.3 |
| 55.1#55 | 2P% | #6849.2 |
| 33.1#222 | 3P% | #1730.3 |
| 71.3#230 | FT% | — |
| 50.6#13 | 3PA rate | #3644.7 |
Tennessee offense vs Florida St. defense
| Tennessee O | Stat | Florida St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#231 | Tempo | #2771.8 |
| 51.8#157 | eFG% | #22752.2 |
| 17.4#230 | TOV% | #5119.0 |
| 45.1#1 | ORB% | #31934.1 |
| 38.1#100 | FT rate | #12332.7 |
| 9.3#169 | Block% | #6211.6 |
| 59.9#34 | Assist% | #27155.7 |
| 52.3#160 | 2P% | #22052.5 |
| 33.8#185 | 3P% | #22334.6 |
| 69.4#290 | FT% | — |
| 31.8#332 | 3PA rate | #3244.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Florida St.
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Duke1 | L 79–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | California94 | W 95–89 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | SMU59 | W 91–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Pittsburgh79 | W 75–74 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Georgia Tech110 | W 80–71 |
Tennessee
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Michigan24 | L 62–95 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Iowa St.6 | W 76–62 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Virginia14 | W 79–72 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Miami OH108 | W 78–56 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Vanderbilt21 | L 68–75 |
