Model line
Tennessee −5.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Tennessee 70%
Projected tempo
69.4
possessions
Site
Tennessee home
30%Win probability70%
The model makes Tennessee a 5.1-point favorite, winning about 70 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Michigan St. offense vs Tennessee defense
| Michigan St. O | Stat | Tennessee D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#246 | Tempo | #23167.3 |
| 54.1#67 | eFG% | #3447.5 |
| 17.2#218 | TOV% | #19816.4 |
| 37.9#9 | ORB% | #5627.7 |
| 36.0#151 | FT rate | #21035.9 |
| 8.0#58 | Block% | #8011.2 |
| 67.9#2 | Assist% | #2645.3 |
| 53.7#93 | 2P% | #6849.2 |
| 36.5#39 | 3P% | #1730.3 |
| 76.5#42 | FT% | — |
| 36.7#236 | 3PA rate | #3644.7 |
Tennessee offense vs Michigan St. defense
| Tennessee O | Stat | Michigan St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#231 | Tempo | #24667.0 |
| 51.8#157 | eFG% | #5548.7 |
| 17.4#230 | TOV% | #29714.9 |
| 45.1#1 | ORB% | #122.5 |
| 38.1#100 | FT rate | #6530.2 |
| 9.3#169 | Block% | #1713.7 |
| 59.9#34 | Assist% | #29656.5 |
| 52.3#160 | 2P% | #4748.4 |
| 33.8#185 | 3P% | #10132.7 |
| 69.4#290 | FT% | — |
| 31.8#332 | 3PA rate | #2146.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Michigan St.
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Connecticut3 | L 63–67 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Louisville15 | W 77–69 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | North Dakota St.170 | W 92–67 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | UCLA18 | L 84–88 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Michigan24 | L 80–90 |
Tennessee
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Michigan24 | L 62–95 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Iowa St.6 | W 76–62 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Virginia14 | W 79–72 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Miami OH108 | W 78–56 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Vanderbilt21 | L 68–75 |
