Model line
Tennessee −34.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Tennessee >99%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Tennessee home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Tennessee a 34.1-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Tennessee St. offense vs Tennessee defense
| Tennessee St. O | Stat | Tennessee D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.8#62 | Tempo | #23167.3 |
| 50.0#236 | eFG% | #3447.5 |
| 16.7#180 | TOV% | #19816.4 |
| 34.8#53 | ORB% | #5627.7 |
| 33.4#227 | FT rate | #21035.9 |
| 7.7#43 | Block% | #8011.2 |
| 45.5#327 | Assist% | #2645.3 |
| 50.0#255 | 2P% | #6849.2 |
| 33.3#213 | 3P% | #1730.3 |
| 76.0#52 | FT% | — |
| 30.7#345 | 3PA rate | #3644.7 |
Tennessee offense vs Tennessee St. defense
| Tennessee O | Stat | Tennessee St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#231 | Tempo | #6270.8 |
| 51.8#157 | eFG% | #19351.6 |
| 17.4#230 | TOV% | #2919.8 |
| 45.1#1 | ORB% | #18730.6 |
| 38.1#100 | FT rate | #31741.4 |
| 9.3#169 | Block% | #11710.5 |
| 59.9#34 | Assist% | #12150.3 |
| 52.3#160 | 2P% | #19552.0 |
| 33.8#185 | 3P% | #18534.0 |
| 69.4#290 | FT% | — |
| 31.8#332 | 3PA rate | #29135.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Tennessee St.
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Murray St.97 | L 64–94 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Iowa St.6 | L 74–108 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Morehead St.329 | W 93–67 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Tennessee Martin312 | W 68–55 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Tennessee Martin312 | W 67–42 |
Tennessee
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Michigan24 | L 62–95 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Iowa St.6 | W 76–62 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Virginia14 | W 79–72 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Miami OH108 | W 78–56 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Vanderbilt21 | L 68–75 |
