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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Oklahoma · #22 · SEC · 0–0SMU · #59 · ACC · 0–0Tue, Dec 22 · 8:30 PM ETESPNUMoody Coliseum (Dallas) · Dallas, TX
Model line
SMU −2.9
Win probability
SMU 62%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
SMU home
38%Win probability62%

The model makes SMU a 2.9-point favorite, winning about 62 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Oklahoma offense vs SMU defense

Oklahoma OStatSMU D
68.4#177Tempo#7270.6
55.1#38eFG%#19151.6
14.4#40TOV%#16816.8
33.6#76ORB%#23531.6
35.9#158FT rate#10832.1
10.0#239Block%#9111.0
50.2#239Assist%#34660.9
55.0#582P%#19452.0
36.8#343P%#18734.1
74.5#103FT%—
43.8#953PA rate#947.7

SMU offense vs Oklahoma defense

SMU OStatOklahoma D
70.6#72Tempo#17768.4
55.6#28eFG%#17051.2
15.7#116TOV%#26715.3
35.4#37ORB%#29733.0
30.4#301FT rate#15134.0
7.5#33Block%#12010.4
54.9#120Assist%#13150.7
55.6#482P%#15051.1
37.1#283P%#19734.2
74.3#115FT%—
35.9#2513PA rate#17139.7

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Oklahoma

Sun, Apr 5NWest Virginia51L 82–89
Sat, Apr 4NBaylor32W 82–69
Wed, Apr 1NColorado87W 90–86
Fri, Mar 13NArkansas23L 79–82
Thu, Mar 12NTexas A&M33W 83–63

SMU

Wed, Mar 18NMiami OH108L 79–89
Wed, Mar 11NLouisville15L 58–62
Tue, Mar 10NSyracuse76W 86–69
Sat, Mar 7AFlorida St.64L 78–91
Wed, Mar 4HMiami FL13L 69–77